Results
from an interesting epidemiological investigation based on data from eight
birth cohorts collected under the Global Allergy and Asthma European Network
[GA2LEN] research initiatives are presented this month in Rzehak et
al (J Allergy Clin Immunol 2013; 131(6): 1528-1536). Risk of “incident asthma,”
defined as first reported physician diagnosis, for 3 age brackets up to 6 years
old is analyzed.
Using
a novel growth curve analysis method to identify classes of BMI trajectories
normalized according to WHO standards [BMI-SDS], the authors identify three
classes, a normative class [Class 1], an early rapid growth only up to 2 years
class [Class 2], and a persistent rapid growth to 6 years class [Class 3]. Survival analysis of the three BMI-SDS
trajectories assessed the hazard ratio [HR] for incident asthma in each.
Rzehak
et al. report that children in the Class 2 trajectory had a significant
increased risk of incident asthma within their first 6 years. Class 3 children had similar risk that did
not achieve significance. Hazard ratios
were similar between Class 2 and 3, the latter class having a greater
prevalence of excess weight and obesity, suggesting that there is an
association of early rapid weight gain with incident asthma, independent of
overweight or obesity.
Rzehak
et al. conclude that rapid weight gain during the first two years of life
increases the risk of incident asthma by the age of 6 years.
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